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Storm Events

Events
639,465
Precision
hour-level
Branching Ratio
0.670
Independent
33.0%

67.0% of events in this dataset were triggered by prior events. Only 33.0% are independent (211,024 of 639,465).

Data Quality Notes

  • 56% of Hawkes-triggered events come from storm types added after 1996
  • Original 3 storm types (tornado, hail, thunderstorm wind) show lower self-excitation
  • Largest dataset in the study at 639,465 events

If You're Using This Dataset

Known Issues

  • 1996 type expansion added new storm categories, inflating count
  • 56% of Hawkes-triggered events come from post-1996 types

Key Insight

The branching ratio includes type-expansion artifacts. An instrument-corrected value using only the original 3 storm types would be meaningfully lower.

Downloads

Processed data exports for this dataset. Includes Hawkes-thinned independent events, decomposition results, and curiosity scanner reports.

Also available on GitHub

Citation

Suggested citation

Brothers, B. (2026). Storm Events Hawkes Process Decomposition: 33.0% Independent Events from 639,465 Total. Project Aletheia. https://projectaletheia.org/datasets/storm-events

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