Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-05-30
Does the matched weather/Kp result replicate on direct station data and held-out dates?
Result: In the full-date Hessdalen event corpus, dated observations behave as an observation-ecology result rather than a physical explanation: event days are not elevated on same-day Kp against matched +/-7/14/21/28 day controls, while precipitation and wind-gust metrics are lower than controls. This claim does not explain what the Hessdalen lights are, does not claim weather causes the phenomenon, and does not refute geomagnetic hypotheses generally; it only says same-day Kp is not elevated in this bridge. Weather evidence is Open-Meteo reanalysis-grid data, not direct station instrument logs for every event.
Claim ceiling: Bounded corpus/measurement result; no mechanism or universality.
Novelty: Aletheia applies matched +/-7/14/21/28-day controls to dated reports and separates same-day Kp non-elevation from lower reanalysis precipitation/gust observation ecology.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-HESSDALEN-ECOLOGY
Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_EQUIVALENT
Evidence records: ART-057, ART-056
Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-06-10
Does the LZc effect remain absent after preregistered aperiodic control in new raw EEG?
Result: In two raw psychedelic-EEG datasets (ketamine and DMT), apparent increases in signal-diversity complexity (Lempel-Ziv) are largely explained by flattening of the 1/f aperiodic slope; after controlling for the aperiodic exponent, no separable complexity effect remains in these datasets.
Claim ceiling: Bounded corpus/measurement result; no mechanism or universality.
Novelty: Aletheia tests the specific 1/f aperiodic exponent as the confound in both ketamine and DMT raw datasets and reports no separable drug effect after that control.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-LZC-APERIODIC
Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_EQUIVALENT
Evidence records: ART-044, ART-034
Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-23
Does dream-report linkage generalize to independent open-set contributors?
Result: Closed-set pseudonymous linkage within DreamBank after obvious content clues were removed.
Claim ceiling: Closed-set pseudonymous archive linkage, not real-name identification.
Novelty: Aletheia directly measures closed-set pseudonymous linkage across 20 contributors after removing obvious names and content clues, with an explicit privacy framing.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-DREAM-PRIVACY-LINKAGE
Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_ARCHIVE
Evidence records: ART-032, ART-033
Read the full dream-linkage investigation →Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-07-24
Does the coarse telling-order gradient replicate in the independently collected NDERF corpus?
Result: Validated markers in 2,192 OBERF narratives follow a coarse order in the telling: onset/body markers early, tunnel and light mid-narrative, felt presence after them, return-to-body last; p=1e-4 in both corpus halves under an event-set-preserving null. Early-cluster internal order is not stable, so the supported claim is a coarse gradient, not a step-by-step sequence.
Claim ceiling: Telling order of validated markers in one corpus; not an experienced-event sequence; early-cluster order unstable.
Novelty: Preregistered, precision-gated marker measurement with permutation nulls and split replication on an OBE corpus; telling-order claim ceiling
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-OBERF-TELLING-ORDER
Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_CORPUS
Evidence records: ART-036, ART-037
Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-24
Does the database-level structure (robust pooled excess, no decline, weak small-study signal) hold in the independent Tressoldi compilation?
Result: In the public 128-study ganzfeld compilation: pooled excess +376.2 hits over the ~5,459-trial chance expectation (p<1e-5), robust to greedy removal of 46 of 128 studies; decline over time absent at the frozen 0.01 threshold; small-study association suggestive only (p=0.019-0.047). Structure of the compiled file; upstream selection untested; no psi conclusion either way.
Claim ceiling: Structure of one proponent-compiled database; upstream publication/selection effects untested; no psi conclusion.
Novelty: Frozen pre-registered thresholds, greedy fragility count, duplicate sensitivity, and independent exact-tail reproduction on the 2018 compilation
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-GANZFELD-DB-STRUCTURE
Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_DATABASE
Evidence records: ART-035, ART-038
Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-20
Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?
Result: Preregister a message-structure-only replay of the dry/open versus wet/enclosed hypothesis, anchored on the existing Marian negative result and excluding entity-affect endpoints.
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE
Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION
Evidence records: ART-002, ART-047
Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-06-03
Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?
Result: Does the dry/desert prophetic-vision hypothesis survive after the Marian-apparition arid/semi-arid negative result is treated as a potential disconfirmation rather than a weak exception?
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE
Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION
Evidence records: ART-002, ART-046
Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-06-18
Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?
Result: Dry/open prophetic-vision reframe kill test: use the Marian arid/semi-arid negative result as the anchor falsifier and only test setting-by-message-structure interactions after separating dry/open, dry/enclosed, wet/open, and wet/enclosed contexts.
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE
Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION
Evidence records: ART-002, ART-047
Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-20
Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?
Result: Repeat the broad humid-climate/lower-trickster and blinded 120-row entity-affect analyses as a new wonder item.
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE
Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION
Evidence records: ART-002, ART-050
Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-04
Do DMT and NDE reports share a specific signal beyond vocabulary and generic altered-state content?
Result: No shared brain signature appeared in the tested DMT EEG data; stronger test needs high-density paired data.
Claim ceiling: No shared signature detected at tested resolution.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-DMT-NDE-BRIDGE
Evidence grade: G1_BOUNDED_NULL
Evidence records: ART-041
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
What survives when the exploratory light separation pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?
Result: NDE and dream-report corpora show high visual-light/altered-state proxies while UAP report corpora show visual-light without the same internal-state framing; this suggests a separable altered-state imagery mechanism rather than a single generic light-reporting effect.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-LIGHT-SEPARATION
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
What survives when the exploratory uap reporting ecology pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?
Result: UAP report corpora appear to differ from official/fireball controls not just in visual-light frequency but in the bundle of light, motion, and shape proxies, consistent with reporting-ecology and observer-opportunity mechanisms.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-UAP-REPORTING-ECOLOGY
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
Does a sensory-reduction pattern survive matched Ganzfeld, hypnosis, dream, and sleep-paralysis controls?
Result: Across NDE and dream-report corpora, sound, motion, and physiological proxies suggest a bounded sensory-reduction transition pattern: internally generated perception becomes more salient when ordinary sensory anchoring is reduced. Ganzfeld/protocol-experiment material is excluded from canonical support and retained only as experimental follow-up pending EP-PROTO controls.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-SENSORY-REDUCTION
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
What survives when the exploratory em measurement invariance pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?
Result: The broad electromagnetic proxy appears in unrelated corpora, suggesting measurement-invariance failure rather than a real cross-domain electromagnetic mechanism.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-EM-MEASUREMENT-INVARIANCE
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
Do NDE and DreamBank meaning/communication contrasts survive source, length, and ontology controls?
Result: Full-registry rows suggest NDE claims cluster death/afterlife, memory, and peace/love semantics differently from dream rows, implying that transition meaning rather than imagery alone may separate NDE-like material from ordinary dreams.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-NDE-DREAM-MEANING
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
What survives when the exploratory uap evidence channel pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?
Result: Across the full registry, UAP rows separate instrument-backed cases from generic light/motion narratives, suggesting that evidence modality should be modeled as an independent axis rather than blended into phenomenological features.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-UAP-EVIDENCE-CHANNEL
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-053
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30
Do G-LOC, syncope, coma, anesthesia, sleep-paralysis, and NDE data preserve trigger-specific body-boundary patterns?
Result: G-LOC and acute-hypoxia narratives suggest a recoverable transition subtype: sensory/motor fragments and dreamlets can occur without the full canonical NDE package, especially without prominent life review or deceased-relative encounter.
Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-BODY-BOUNDARY
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-055
Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-04
Is the dream-report EEG correlate more than arousal or sleep depth?
Result: A reproducible slow-wave correlate appeared but is most consistent with arousal or sleep depth.
Claim ceiling: A confounded archive-local physiological correlate.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-DREAM-EXPERIENCE-EEG
Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY
Evidence records: ART-041
New verification requiredNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-23
Do G-LOC, syncope, coma, anesthesia, sleep-paralysis, and NDE data preserve trigger-specific body-boundary patterns?
Result: Sleep-paralysis and NDE source-coded corpora support a trigger-specific Layer-1 body-boundary signature: sleep paralysis is led by paralysis/presence (7.209% / 8.909%), while NDE is led by vestibular separation/presence (17.76% / 14.269%).
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-BODY-BOUNDARY
Evidence grade: G0_HYPOTHESIS_OR_METHOD
Evidence records: ART-055, ART-040
New verification requiredNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-23
Is the reported life-review/deceased-relative subtype reproducible from validated NDE rows?
Result: NDE life-review rows behave like a memory/social-affiliation subtype rather than a generic light/OBE subtype: within coded NDE life-review rows, deceased-relative co-occurrence is 58.14%, while bright-light co-occurrence is 16.279%.
Claim ceiling: No claim authority.
Receipts and linked question
Question: Q-NDE-LIFE-REVIEW
Evidence grade: G0_HYPOTHESIS_OR_METHOD
Evidence records: ART-055