Findings

Outcomes, with their limits attached

A finding is a checked outcome. A claim is the exact sentence that outcome supports. “Discovery” is only a badge after a fresh novelty review—not a separate pile of content.

Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-05-30

Does the matched weather/Kp result replicate on direct station data and held-out dates?

Result: In the full-date Hessdalen event corpus, dated observations behave as an observation-ecology result rather than a physical explanation: event days are not elevated on same-day Kp against matched +/-7/14/21/28 day controls, while precipitation and wind-gust metrics are lower than controls. This claim does not explain what the Hessdalen lights are, does not claim weather causes the phenomenon, and does not refute geomagnetic hypotheses generally; it only says same-day Kp is not elevated in this bridge. Weather evidence is Open-Meteo reanalysis-grid data, not direct station instrument logs for every event.

Claim ceiling: Bounded corpus/measurement result; no mechanism or universality.

Novelty: Aletheia applies matched +/-7/14/21/28-day controls to dated reports and separates same-day Kp non-elevation from lower reanalysis precipitation/gust observation ecology.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-HESSDALEN-ECOLOGY

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_EQUIVALENT

Evidence records: ART-057, ART-056

Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-06-10

Does the LZc effect remain absent after preregistered aperiodic control in new raw EEG?

Result: In two raw psychedelic-EEG datasets (ketamine and DMT), apparent increases in signal-diversity complexity (Lempel-Ziv) are largely explained by flattening of the 1/f aperiodic slope; after controlling for the aperiodic exponent, no separable complexity effect remains in these datasets.

Claim ceiling: Bounded corpus/measurement result; no mechanism or universality.

Novelty: Aletheia tests the specific 1/f aperiodic exponent as the confound in both ketamine and DMT raw datasets and reports no separable drug effect after that control.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-LZC-APERIODIC

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_EQUIVALENT

Evidence records: ART-044, ART-034

Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-23

Does dream-report linkage generalize to independent open-set contributors?

Result: Closed-set pseudonymous linkage within DreamBank after obvious content clues were removed.

Claim ceiling: Closed-set pseudonymous archive linkage, not real-name identification.

Novelty: Aletheia directly measures closed-set pseudonymous linkage across 20 contributors after removing obvious names and content clues, with an explicit privacy framing.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-DREAM-PRIVACY-LINKAGE

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_ARCHIVE

Evidence records: ART-032, ART-033

Read the full dream-linkage investigation →
Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-07-24

Does the coarse telling-order gradient replicate in the independently collected NDERF corpus?

Result: Validated markers in 2,192 OBERF narratives follow a coarse order in the telling: onset/body markers early, tunnel and light mid-narrative, felt presence after them, return-to-body last; p=1e-4 in both corpus halves under an event-set-preserving null. Early-cluster internal order is not stable, so the supported claim is a coarse gradient, not a step-by-step sequence.

Claim ceiling: Telling order of validated markers in one corpus; not an experienced-event sequence; early-cluster order unstable.

Novelty: Preregistered, precision-gated marker measurement with permutation nulls and split replication on an OBE corpus; telling-order claim ceiling

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-OBERF-TELLING-ORDER

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_CORPUS

Evidence records: ART-036, ART-037

Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-24

Does the database-level structure (robust pooled excess, no decline, weak small-study signal) hold in the independent Tressoldi compilation?

Result: In the public 128-study ganzfeld compilation: pooled excess +376.2 hits over the ~5,459-trial chance expectation (p<1e-5), robust to greedy removal of 46 of 128 studies; decline over time absent at the frozen 0.01 threshold; small-study association suggestive only (p=0.019-0.047). Structure of the compiled file; upstream selection untested; no psi conclusion either way.

Claim ceiling: Structure of one proponent-compiled database; upstream publication/selection effects untested; no psi conclusion.

Novelty: Frozen pre-registered thresholds, greedy fragility count, duplicate sensitivity, and independent exact-tail reproduction on the 2018 compilation

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-GANZFELD-DB-STRUCTURE

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_DATABASE

Evidence records: ART-035, ART-038

Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-20

Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?

Result: Preregister a message-structure-only replay of the dry/open versus wet/enclosed hypothesis, anchored on the existing Marian negative result and excluding entity-affect endpoints.

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE

Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION

Evidence records: ART-002, ART-047

Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-06-03

Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?

Result: Does the dry/desert prophetic-vision hypothesis survive after the Marian-apparition arid/semi-arid negative result is treated as a potential disconfirmation rather than a weak exception?

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE

Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION

Evidence records: ART-002, ART-046

Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-06-18

Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?

Result: Dry/open prophetic-vision reframe kill test: use the Marian arid/semi-arid negative result as the anchor falsifier and only test setting-by-message-structure interactions after separating dry/open, dry/enclosed, wet/open, and wet/enclosed contexts.

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE

Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION

Evidence records: ART-002, ART-047

Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-20

Do the broad climate/environment formulations survive current matched controls?

Result: Repeat the broad humid-climate/lower-trickster and blinded 120-row entity-affect analyses as a new wonder item.

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-CLIMATE-NEGATIVE

Evidence grade: G0_OPEN_QUESTION

Evidence records: ART-002, ART-050

Bounded nullNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-04

Do DMT and NDE reports share a specific signal beyond vocabulary and generic altered-state content?

Result: No shared brain signature appeared in the tested DMT EEG data; stronger test needs high-density paired data.

Claim ceiling: No shared signature detected at tested resolution.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-DMT-NDE-BRIDGE

Evidence grade: G1_BOUNDED_NULL

Evidence records: ART-041

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

What survives when the exploratory light separation pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?

Result: NDE and dream-report corpora show high visual-light/altered-state proxies while UAP report corpora show visual-light without the same internal-state framing; this suggests a separable altered-state imagery mechanism rather than a single generic light-reporting effect.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-LIGHT-SEPARATION

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

What survives when the exploratory uap reporting ecology pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?

Result: UAP report corpora appear to differ from official/fireball controls not just in visual-light frequency but in the bundle of light, motion, and shape proxies, consistent with reporting-ecology and observer-opportunity mechanisms.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-UAP-REPORTING-ECOLOGY

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

Does a sensory-reduction pattern survive matched Ganzfeld, hypnosis, dream, and sleep-paralysis controls?

Result: Across NDE and dream-report corpora, sound, motion, and physiological proxies suggest a bounded sensory-reduction transition pattern: internally generated perception becomes more salient when ordinary sensory anchoring is reduced. Ganzfeld/protocol-experiment material is excluded from canonical support and retained only as experimental follow-up pending EP-PROTO controls.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-SENSORY-REDUCTION

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

What survives when the exploratory em measurement invariance pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?

Result: The broad electromagnetic proxy appears in unrelated corpora, suggesting measurement-invariance failure rather than a real cross-domain electromagnetic mechanism.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-EM-MEASUREMENT-INVARIANCE

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

Do NDE and DreamBank meaning/communication contrasts survive source, length, and ontology controls?

Result: Full-registry rows suggest NDE claims cluster death/afterlife, memory, and peace/love semantics differently from dream rows, implying that transition meaning rather than imagery alone may separate NDE-like material from ordinary dreams.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-NDE-DREAM-MEANING

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

What survives when the exploratory uap evidence channel pattern is tested on validated held-out labels?

Result: Across the full registry, UAP rows separate instrument-backed cases from generic light/motion narratives, suggesting that evidence modality should be modeled as an independent axis rather than blended into phenomenological features.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-UAP-EVIDENCE-CHANNEL

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-053

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-05-30

Do G-LOC, syncope, coma, anesthesia, sleep-paralysis, and NDE data preserve trigger-specific body-boundary patterns?

Result: G-LOC and acute-hypoxia narratives suggest a recoverable transition subtype: sensory/motor fragments and dreamlets can occur without the full canonical NDE package, especially without prominent life review or deceased-relative encounter.

Claim ceiling: Exploratory substrate only.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-BODY-BOUNDARY

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-055

Exploratory outcomeNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-04

Is the dream-report EEG correlate more than arousal or sleep depth?

Result: A reproducible slow-wave correlate appeared but is most consistent with arousal or sleep depth.

Claim ceiling: A confounded archive-local physiological correlate.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-DREAM-EXPERIENCE-EEG

Evidence grade: G1_EXPLORATORY

Evidence records: ART-041

New verification requiredNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-23

Do G-LOC, syncope, coma, anesthesia, sleep-paralysis, and NDE data preserve trigger-specific body-boundary patterns?

Result: Sleep-paralysis and NDE source-coded corpora support a trigger-specific Layer-1 body-boundary signature: sleep paralysis is led by paralysis/presence (7.209% / 8.909%), while NDE is led by vestibular separation/presence (17.76% / 14.269%).

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-BODY-BOUNDARY

Evidence grade: G0_HYPOTHESIS_OR_METHOD

Evidence records: ART-055, ART-040

New verification requiredNovelty not reviewedChecked 2026-07-23

Is the reported life-review/deceased-relative subtype reproducible from validated NDE rows?

Result: NDE life-review rows behave like a memory/social-affiliation subtype rather than a generic light/OBE subtype: within coded NDE life-review rows, deceased-relative co-occurrence is 58.14%, while bright-light co-occurrence is 16.279%.

Claim ceiling: No claim authority.

Receipts and linked question

Question: Q-NDE-LIFE-REVIEW

Evidence grade: G0_HYPOTHESIS_OR_METHOD

Evidence records: ART-055