Findings

Outcomes, with their limits attached

A finding is a checked outcome. A claim is the exact sentence that outcome supports. “Discovery” is only a badge after a fresh novelty review—not a separate pile of content.

Supported findingCONFIRMATION PHENOMENON KNOWNChecked 2026-08-15

Deeper experiences are the ones people call impossible to put into words

The result: In 4,630 NDERF records, people answering YES to "was the experience difficult to express in words?" score higher on the standard depth scale than NO answerers (medians 16 vs 14, effect size 0.126, p=1.4e-13, confirmed independently twice). Present in both submission eras, stronger later. Cannot-describe language runs 17.6% in these narratives vs 0.77% in tinnitus patients describing their own hard-to-convey symptom (descriptive; survives length matching). This is a quantitative confirmation of a known feature of deep experiences, with receipts: preregistered rules, a sealed blind coding packet judged by a fresh isolated coder at 30/30 on every load-bearing category, and four adversarial review cycles, one of which caught and retracted an era-analysis error.

What it means: People are not sprinkling 'indescribable' around at random. The ones who say words fail are the ones whose experiences went deepest, and that pattern is strong enough to build on: it means the failure of language is itself a structured, studyable part of these experiences.

What it is NOT: Not proof the experiences are truly beyond language, because 'words cannot describe it' is also a phrase people learn from books and other tellers, and the questionnaire asks the question directly which nudges yes answers. Not a claim about verified persons, because the archive cannot confirm identities, so counts are distinct records.

Next test that could settle it: Recover NDERF questionnaire form history to test whether an instrument change explains the era strengthening

Open question: Does a documented NDERF questionnaire form change explain why the ineffability-depth association is stronger in later submissions?

Receipts (exact limits and evidence records)

Claim ceiling (the strongest sentence this evidence supports): Self-report answer vs self-report depth score, same sitting, one self-selected archive; records not verified persons; no mechanism, causality, or novelty claim.

Novelty: population-scale quantification of the structured archive answer against Greyson totals with sealed blind coding, independent recomputation, and submission-date era analysis

Question: Q-INEFF-FORM-HISTORY-2026-08-15

Evidence grade: G2_within_one_archive

Evidence records: ART-045, ART-046

Related: Out-of-body reports share a coarse telling order, Structure audit of the 1974-2018 ganzfeld study database, De-identified dream reports can be linked across time

Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-07-24

Out-of-body reports share a coarse telling order

The result: Validated markers in 2,192 OBERF narratives follow a coarse order in the telling: onset/body markers early, tunnel and light mid-narrative, felt presence after them, return-to-body last; p=1e-4 in both corpus halves under an event-set-preserving null. Early-cluster internal order is not stable, so the supported claim is a coarse gradient, not a step-by-step sequence.

What it means: People telling out-of-body stories follow a shared coarse order: how it started comes early, tunnel and light land mid-story, a felt presence after them, and the return to the body last. Two thousand narratives beat shuffled versions of themselves at odds of one in ten thousand, in both halves of the archive.

What it is NOT: Not the order events were experienced in, because this measures how stories are told. Not a fine-grained sequence, because the early markers swap order freely and only the coarse gradient is supported.

Next test that could settle it: Frozen replication on the independently collected NDERF corpus with a second precision rater.

Open question: Does the coarse telling-order gradient replicate in the independently collected NDERF corpus?

Receipts (exact limits and evidence records)

Claim ceiling (the strongest sentence this evidence supports): Telling order of validated markers in one corpus; not an experienced-event sequence; early-cluster order unstable.

Novelty: Preregistered, precision-gated marker measurement with permutation nulls and split replication on an OBE corpus; telling-order claim ceiling

Question: Q-OBERF-TELLING-ORDER

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_CORPUS

Evidence records: ART-048, ART-049

Related: Structure audit of the 1974-2018 ganzfeld study database, De-identified dream reports can be linked across time, The psychedelic brain-complexity rise is mostly a spectral artifact

Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-24

Structure audit of the 1974-2018 ganzfeld study database

The result: In the public 128-study ganzfeld compilation: pooled excess +376.2 hits over the ~5,459-trial chance expectation (p<1e-5), robust to greedy removal of 46 of 128 studies; decline over time absent at the frozen 0.01 threshold; small-study association suggestive only (p=0.019-0.047). Structure of the compiled file; upstream selection untested; no psi conclusion either way.

What it means: The public database of 128 telepathy-style ganzfeld studies really does contain more hits than chance predicts, and the excess survives removing a third of the studies and shows no fade over time. Whatever explains it, the compiled numbers themselves are not fragile.

What it is NOT: Not evidence for telepathy, because the audit tested only the structure of the compiled table and upstream publication selection remains untested. Not a final word, because the same frozen audit on an independent compilation is the named next step.

Next test that could settle it: Same frozen audit on the independent Tressoldi MA_GanzfeldESP compilation.

Open question: Does the database-level structure (robust pooled excess, no decline, weak small-study signal) hold in the independent Tressoldi compilation?

Receipts (exact limits and evidence records)

Claim ceiling (the strongest sentence this evidence supports): Structure of one proponent-compiled database; upstream publication/selection effects untested; no psi conclusion.

Novelty: Frozen pre-registered thresholds, greedy fragility count, duplicate sensitivity, and independent exact-tail reproduction on the 2018 compilation

Question: Q-GANZFELD-DB-STRUCTURE

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_DATABASE

Evidence records: ART-047, ART-050

Related: Out-of-body reports share a coarse telling order, De-identified dream reports can be linked across time, The psychedelic brain-complexity rise is mostly a spectral artifact

Supported findingPARTLY KNOWNChecked 2026-07-23

De-identified dream reports can be linked across time

The result: Closed-set pseudonymous linkage within DreamBank after obvious content clues were removed.

What it means: Dream reports are individually distinctive enough that the same anonymous dreamer can be re-identified across time inside an archive even after obvious clues are removed. Anonymized dream text is not as anonymous as it looks.

What it is NOT: Not real-name identification, because the test only matched pseudonymous records to each other inside one closed archive. Not a privacy verdict on all dream data, because open-set testing with separated recorders is the named next step.

Next test that could settle it: Independent open-set cohort with recorder/transcriber separation.

Open question: Does dream-report linkage generalize to independent open-set contributors?

Receipts (exact limits and evidence records)

Claim ceiling (the strongest sentence this evidence supports): Closed-set pseudonymous archive linkage, not real-name identification.

Novelty: Aletheia directly measures closed-set pseudonymous linkage across 20 contributors after removing obvious names and content clues, with an explicit privacy framing.

Question: Q-DREAM-PRIVACY-LINKAGE

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_WITHIN_ONE_ARCHIVE

Evidence records: ART-038, ART-039

Related: Out-of-body reports share a coarse telling order, Structure audit of the 1974-2018 ganzfeld study database, The psychedelic brain-complexity rise is mostly a spectral artifact

Read the full dream-linkage investigation →
Supported findingNOVELTY UNRESOLVEDChecked 2026-06-10

The psychedelic brain-complexity rise is mostly a spectral artifact

The result: In two raw psychedelic-EEG datasets (ketamine and DMT), apparent increases in signal-diversity complexity (Lempel-Ziv) are largely explained by flattening of the 1/f aperiodic slope; after controlling for the aperiodic exponent, no separable complexity effect remains in these datasets.

What it means: In ketamine and DMT brain recordings, the celebrated rise in signal "complexity" mostly disappears once you account for a simple change in the overall shape of the frequency spectrum. The flagship complexity story largely reduces to a known, simpler measurement effect in these datasets.

What it is NOT: Not a claim that psychedelics do nothing to the brain, because the spectral change itself is real and large. Not universal, because two public datasets were tested and a person-level preregistered replication is the named next step.

Next test that could settle it: Replicate prospectively with person-level raw EEG and preregistered spectral controls.

Open question: Does the LZc effect remain absent after preregistered aperiodic control in new raw EEG?

Receipts (exact limits and evidence records)

Claim ceiling (the strongest sentence this evidence supports): Bounded corpus/measurement result; no mechanism or universality.

Novelty: Aletheia tests the specific 1/f aperiodic exponent as the confound in both ketamine and DMT raw datasets and reports no separable drug effect after that control.

Question: Q-LZC-APERIODIC

Evidence grade: G2_SUPPORTED_EQUIVALENT

Evidence records: ART-058, ART-044

Related: Out-of-body reports share a coarse telling order, Structure audit of the 1974-2018 ganzfeld study database, De-identified dream reports can be linked across time